Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Solecki won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joe Solecki wins(71.7%)
Actual result: Joe Solecki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Solecki threatens submissions; Alex Da Silva has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Alex Da Silva has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Solecki
Red Corner
VS
Alex Da Silva
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
32
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SoleckiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 21W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jun 24L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25Alex Da Silva
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 19W
vs Kazula Vargas · Aug 19L
vs Brad Riddell · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SoleckiMetricAlex Da Silva
1.97
Strikes / min
2.14
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.52
50%
Strike defense
56%
2.06
TDs / 15 min
1.97
14%
Takedown defense
76%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe SoleckiAlex Da Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Solecki(9 fights)Alex Da Silva(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.8-52.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-371.0371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Joe Solecki
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Alex Da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4