Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jared Gordon won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 2, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Solecki: WrestlervsJared Gordon: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Joe Solecki wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Jared Gordon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jared Gordon has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Solecki
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gordon
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
32
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SoleckiL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Da Silva · Jun 22W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jun 24L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25Jared Gordon
oldest →latest
L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 22W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SoleckiMetricJared Gordon
1.97
Strikes / min
5.57
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
50%
Strike defense
55%
2.06
TDs / 15 min
1.91
14%
Takedown defense
60%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.12Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe SoleckiJared Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Solecki(9 fights)Jared Gordon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.9-23.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Joe Solecki
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Jared Gordon
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights16