Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Birchak won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2015·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Soto: Submission grapplervsAnthony Birchak: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Joe Soto wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Anthony Birchak wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Birchak is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Joe Soto has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Joe Soto threatens submissions; Anthony Birchak has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Joe Soto has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anthony Birchak has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Soto
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Birchak
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
165.1 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SotoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16W
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18Anthony BirchakL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ian Entwistle · Dec 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Nov 15W
vs Dileno Lopes · Jul 16L
SUBvs Gustavo Lopez · Nov 20L
KOvs Tony Gravely · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SotoMetricAnthony Birchak
3.36
Strikes / min
3.93
5.37
Strikes absorbed / min
3.67
67%
Strike defense
56%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.48
70%
Takedown defense
61%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe SotoAnthony Birchak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Soto(8 fights)Anthony Birchak(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.7-3.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Joe Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Anthony Birchak
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6