Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brett Johns won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 1, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Soto: Submission grapplervsBrett Johns: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Brett Johns wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Brett Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Soto has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brett Johns has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Soto
Red Corner
VS
Brett Johns
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Soto
oldest →latest
L
vs Michinori Tanaka · Jan 16W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16W
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18Brett JohnsW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Albert Morales · Jul 17L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 18L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 18W
SUBvs Tony Gravely · Jan 20W
vs Montel Jackson · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SotoMetricBrett Johns
3.36
Strikes / min
2.86
5.37
Strikes absorbed / min
3.84
67%
Strike defense
53%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
4.92
70%
Takedown defense
58%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap-0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe SotoBrett Johns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Soto(8 fights)Brett Johns(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.018.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+127.0-127.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Joe Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Brett Johns
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7