Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michinori Tanaka won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 2, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Soto: Submission grapplervsMichinori Tanaka: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Joe Soto wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Michinori Tanaka wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michinori Tanaka enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Soto has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joe Soto has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Soto
Red Corner
VS
Michinori Tanaka
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SotoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16W
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18Michinori TanakaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roland Delorme · Jun 14L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Sep 14L
vs Rani Yahya · Sep 16L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Feb 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SotoMetricMichinori Tanaka
3.36
Strikes / min
1.97
5.37
Strikes absorbed / min
1.99
67%
Strike defense
50%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
2.40
70%
Takedown defense
43%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe SotoMichinori Tanaka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Soto(8 fights)Michinori Tanaka(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.729.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-259.0259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Joe Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Michinori Tanaka
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5