Featherweight
3 Rounds
Javier Vazquez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, June 26, 2011·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Stevenson: WrestlervsJavier Vazquez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Javier Vazquez wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Javier Vazquez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Javier Vazquez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Javier Vazquez has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Javier Vazquez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joe Stevenson
Red Corner
VS
Javier Vazquez
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
43
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe StevensonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mac Danzig · Dec 10L
vs Danny Castillo · Mar 11Javier VazquezNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe StevensonMetricJavier Vazquez
2.05
Strikes / min
2.43
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
1.99
60%
Strike defense
72%
2.75
TDs / 15 min
2.56
39%
Takedown defense
57%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe StevensonJavier Vazquez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Stevenson(3 fights)Javier Vazquez(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.936.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Joe Stevenson
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3
Javier Vazquez
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1