Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Joey Beltran won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 11, 2011·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJoey Beltran: Pressure fightervsAaron Rosa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Joey Beltran wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Joey Beltran wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joey Beltran enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Joey Beltran is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Aaron Rosa has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Joey Beltran
Red Corner
VS
Aaron Rosa
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
44
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joey BeltranL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Pat Barry · Jan 11L
vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · Jan 12L
vs James Te Huna · Jul 12L
vs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 13Aaron Rosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Matt Lucas · Nov 11L
KOvs James Te Huna · Mar 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joey BeltranMetricAaron Rosa
4.92
Strikes / min
4.03
5.27
Strikes absorbed / min
4.41
54%
Strike defense
45%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
0.36
75%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joey BeltranAaron Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joey Beltran(8 fights)Aaron Rosa(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.047.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Joey Beltran
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Aaron Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3