Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Lavar Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2012·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupJoey Beltran: Pressure fightervsLavar Johnson: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Joey Beltran wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Lavar Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joey Beltran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joey Beltran has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Lavar Johnson has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joey Beltran
Red Corner
VS
Lavar Johnson
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
44
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joey BeltranL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Pat Barry · Jan 11W
KOvs Aaron Rosa · Jun 11L
vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11L
vs James Te Huna · Jul 12L
vs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 13Lavar JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Pat Barry · May 12L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · May 12L
vs Brendan Schaub · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joey BeltranMetricLavar Johnson
4.92
Strikes / min
5.39
5.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
0.61
75%
Takedown defense
54%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35Δ 3.20 — meaningful gap+2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joey BeltranLavar Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joey Beltran(8 fights)Lavar Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.513.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-46.746.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Joey Beltran
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Lavar Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights4