Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Marcos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2024·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Castaneda: Pressure fightervsDaniel Marcos: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Daniel Marcos wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Daniel Marcos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
John Castaneda
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Marcos
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Castaneda
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Miles Johns · Feb 22L
KOvs Daniel Santos · Oct 22W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25Daniel Marcos
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Saimon Oliveira · Jan 23W
vs Davey Grant · Jul 23W
vs Adrian Yanez · Dec 24L
vs Montel Jackson · May 25W
SUBvs Miles Johns · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John CastanedaMetricDaniel Marcos
4.95
Strikes / min
4.90
5.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
54%
Strike defense
61%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
1.35
75%
Takedown defense
85%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John CastanedaDaniel Marcos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Castaneda(8 fights)Daniel Marcos(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.2-4.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
John Castaneda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Daniel Marcos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6