Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Daniel Santos won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Castaneda: Pressure fightervsDaniel Santos: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: John Castaneda wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Daniel Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
- John Castaneda has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
John Castaneda
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Santos
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
34
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John CastanedaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Miles Johns · Feb 22W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25Daniel SantosW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Julio Arce · Apr 22W
vs Johnny Munoz · Jun 23W
vs JeongYeong Lee · May 25W
KOvs JooSang Yoo · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John CastanedaMetricDaniel Santos
4.95
Strikes / min
4.76
5.07
Strikes absorbed / min
5.03
54%
Strike defense
51%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
3.01
75%
Takedown defense
73%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John CastanedaDaniel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Castaneda(8 fights)Daniel Santos(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.4-34.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
John Castaneda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Daniel Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5