Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Dodson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2013·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: John Dodson wins(71.8%)
Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Darrell Montague has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- John Dodson has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darrell Montague (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
Darrell Montague
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+355
(22%)
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Darrell MontagueL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · May 14L
KOvs Willie Gates · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricDarrell Montague
3.20
Strikes / min
1.92
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
5.38
61%
Strike defense
52%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.72
82%
Takedown defense
33%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38Δ 3.08 — meaningful gap-3.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonDarrell Montague
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Darrell Montague(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.9-29.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Darrell Montague
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3