Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Dodson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2014·Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA, USA
Model Prediction: John Dodson wins(57.1%)
Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
John Moraga
Blue Corner
-570
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+480
(17%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17W
vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricJohn Moraga
3.20
Strikes / min
2.57
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
61%
Strike defense
56%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.62
82%
Takedown defense
44%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonJohn Moraga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)John Moraga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.0-10.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+88.0-88.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14