Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Dodson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, October 5, 2012·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jussier Formiga wins(50.7%)
Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Dodson is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Jussier Formiga has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
Jussier Formiga
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricJussier Formiga
3.20
Strikes / min
1.42
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.34
61%
Strike defense
64%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.82
82%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonJussier Formiga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Jussier Formiga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.3-31.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Jussier Formiga
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16