Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marlon Moraes won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: John Dodson wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Marlon Moraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Moraes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- John Dodson is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Marlon Moraes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- John Dodson has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
Marlon Moraes
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Marlon MoraesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jose Aldo · Dec 19L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 20L
KOvs Rob Font · Dec 20L
KOvs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 21L
KOvs Song Yadong · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricMarlon Moraes
3.20
Strikes / min
3.37
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
61%
Strike defense
54%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.87
82%
Takedown defense
46%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38evenly matched on net striking-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonMarlon Moraes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Marlon Moraes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+86.3-86.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Marlon Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11