Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Dodson: Well-roundedvsMerab Dvalishvili: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: John Dodson wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
Merab Dvalishvili
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
L
vs Marlon Moraes · Nov 17W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricMerab Dvalishvili
3.20
Strikes / min
4.42
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
61%
Strike defense
54%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
5.97
82%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38Δ 2.00 — meaningful gap+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonMerab Dvalishvili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.6-19.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17