Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Dodson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Dodson: Well-roundedvsTim Elliott: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(51.9%)
Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
Tim Elliott
Blue Corner
-510
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+440
(19%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Tim ElliottW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricTim Elliott
3.20
Strikes / min
3.51
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
61%
Strike defense
56%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
3.61
82%
Takedown defense
59%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonTim Elliott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Tim Elliott(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21