Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Dodson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 23, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Dodson: Well-roundedvsZach Makovsky: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: John Dodson wins(56.2%)
Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zach Makovsky (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Dodson
Red Corner
VS
Zach Makovsky
Blue Corner
-800
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+550
(15%)
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Zach MakovskyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joshua Sampo · Feb 14L
vs Jussier Formiga · Aug 14W
vs Tim Elliott · Feb 15L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Feb 16L
vs Dustin Ortiz · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricZach Makovsky
3.20
Strikes / min
1.94
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.24
61%
Strike defense
62%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
3.71
82%
Takedown defense
56%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.38evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John DodsonZach Makovsky
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Zach Makovsky(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.7-30.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Zach Makovsky
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7