Welterweight
3 Rounds
John Hathaway won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJohn Hathaway: WrestlervsJohn Maguire: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: John Hathaway wins(54.0%)
Actual result: John Hathaway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
- John Hathaway has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
John Hathaway
Red Corner
VS
John Maguire
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
38
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Hathaway
oldest →latest
W
vs Diego Sanchez · May 10L
vs Mike Pyle · Oct 10W
vs Kris McCray · Mar 11W
vs Pascal Krauss · May 12L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14John MaguireL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HathawayMetricJohn Maguire
3.40
Strikes / min
1.41
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
62%
Strike defense
65%
2.61
TDs / 15 min
2.80
60%
Takedown defense
77%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.60Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John HathawayJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Hathaway(6 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.81.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
John Hathaway
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
John Maguire
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5