Welterweight
3 Rounds
John Hathaway won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 26, 2011·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Hathaway: WrestlervsKris McCray: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: John Hathaway wins(66.8%)
Actual result: John Hathaway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Hathaway has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Hathaway
Red Corner
VS
Kris McCray
Blue Corner
-390
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Hathaway
oldest →latest
W
vs Diego Sanchez · May 10L
vs Mike Pyle · Oct 10W
vs Pascal Krauss · May 12W
vs John Maguire · Sep 12L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14Kris McCrayL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Court McGee · Jun 10L
SUBvs Carlos Eduardo Rocha · Nov 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HathawayMetricKris McCray
3.40
Strikes / min
2.69
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
62%
Strike defense
54%
2.61
TDs / 15 min
2.88
60%
Takedown defense
38%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.60Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John HathawayKris McCray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Hathaway(6 fights)Kris McCray(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.0-36.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.4-2.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
John Hathaway
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Kris McCray
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3