Welterweight
3 Rounds
Brian Ebersole won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 27, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brian Ebersole wins(59.8%)
Actual result: Brian Ebersole wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Ebersole enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Howard
Red Corner
VS
Brian Ebersole
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
43
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Howard
oldest →latest
W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Dec 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 14L
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 15W
vs Cathal Pendred · Jul 15L
KOvs Tim Means · Dec 15Brian EbersoleL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Claude Patrick · Dec 11W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12L
vs James Head · Jul 12L
vs Rick Story · Nov 13L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HowardMetricBrian Ebersole
2.15
Strikes / min
2.32
3.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
51%
Strike defense
56%
2.70
TDs / 15 min
1.70
53%
Takedown defense
61%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.93Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John HowardBrian Ebersole
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Howard(10 fights)Brian Ebersole(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-50.650.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-146.0146.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
John Howard
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Brian Ebersole
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8