Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Ellenberger won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Sunday, August 1, 2010·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Howard: WrestlervsJake Ellenberger: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: John Howard wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Jake Ellenberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Ellenberger has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Howard
Red Corner
VS
Jake Ellenberger
Blue Corner
+181
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-196
(66%)
43
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Howard
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 14L
vs Brian Ebersole · Sep 14L
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 15W
vs Cathal Pendred · Jul 15L
KOvs Tim Means · Dec 15Jake EllenbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jun 18L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HowardMetricJake Ellenberger
2.15
Strikes / min
2.47
3.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
51%
Strike defense
60%
2.70
TDs / 15 min
2.04
53%
Takedown defense
86%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.93evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John HowardJake Ellenberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Howard(10 fights)Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
John Howard
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19