Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ali Bagautinov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Lineker: Pressure fightervsAli Bagautinov: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: John Lineker wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Ali Bagautinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
John Lineker
Red Corner
VS
Ali Bagautinov
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
35
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Lineker
oldest →latest
W
vs John Dodson · Oct 16L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16W
vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19Ali Bagautinov
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Elliott · Nov 13L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 14L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Oct 15W
vs Geane Herrera · Jun 16L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John LinekerMetricAli Bagautinov
5.36
Strikes / min
2.85
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
2.51
67%
Takedown defense
65%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.09Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John LinekerAli Bagautinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Lineker(10 fights)Ali Bagautinov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.7-12.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
John Lineker
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16
Ali Bagautinov
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7