Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Lineker
oldest →W
KOvs Michael McDonald · Jul 16L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19 John Dodson
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John LinekerMetricJohn Dodson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.09Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John LinekerJohn Dodson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Lineker(10 fights)John Dodson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -88.0|Blue +88.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John LinekerTargetJohn Dodson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4John Lineker edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
