Bantamweight
5 Rounds
John Lineker won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2016·Portland, Oregon, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Lineker: Pressure fightervsJohn Dodson: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: John Lineker wins(62.1%)
Actual result: John Lineker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Lineker
Red Corner
VS
John Dodson
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
35
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Lineker
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Michael McDonald · Jul 16L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16W
vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John LinekerMetricJohn Dodson
5.36
Strikes / min
3.20
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
56%
Strike defense
61%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.71
67%
Takedown defense
82%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.09Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John LinekerJohn Dodson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Lineker(10 fights)John Dodson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.9-24.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-88.088.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
John Lineker
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17