Welterweight
3 Rounds
John Maguire won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2011·Birmingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJohn Maguire: WrestlervsJustin Edwards: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: John Maguire wins(57.7%)
Actual result: John Maguire wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Maguire has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Maguire has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Maguire
Red Corner
VS
Justin Edwards
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
43
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MaguireL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13Justin EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Lopez · Sep 11W
SUBvs Josh Neer · Oct 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Aug 13L
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jan 14L
SUBvs Joe Proctor · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MaguireMetricJustin Edwards
1.41
Strikes / min
2.68
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
65%
Strike defense
51%
2.80
TDs / 15 min
2.14
77%
Takedown defense
27%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.03evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MaguireJustin Edwards
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Maguire(5 fights)Justin Edwards(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.01.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.6-48.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
John Maguire
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5
Justin Edwards
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7