Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alan Patrick won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsAlan Patrick: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: John Makdessi wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Alan Patrick wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Patrick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Makdessi has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Makdessi has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Patrick (53.5%).
- Alan Patrick has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
John Makdessi
Red Corner
VS
Alan Patrick
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'11"
172.72 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23Alan PatrickL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Stevie Ray · Sep 16W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Oct 18L
vs Bobby Green · Sep 20L
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MakdessiMetricAlan Patrick
5.52
Strikes / min
1.82
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
68%
Strike defense
43%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.01
86%
Takedown defense
43%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.37Δ 2.50 — meaningful gap-1.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MakdessiAlan Patrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Makdessi(10 fights)Alan Patrick(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.6-33.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+18.0-18.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
John Makdessi
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20
Alan Patrick
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9