Lightweight
3 Rounds
John Makdessi won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Thursday, July 7, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsMehdi Baghdad: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: John Makdessi wins(71.5%)
Actual result: John Makdessi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Makdessi has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Makdessi has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Mehdi Baghdad has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
John Makdessi
Red Corner
VS
Mehdi Baghdad
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
172.72 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23Mehdi Baghdad
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Chris Wade · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MakdessiMetricMehdi Baghdad
5.52
Strikes / min
3.13
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
4.56
68%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
86%
Takedown defense
33%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.37Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap-1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MakdessiMehdi Baghdad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Makdessi(10 fights)Mehdi Baghdad(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.4-29.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+36.0-36.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.1-3.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
John Makdessi
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20
Mehdi Baghdad
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights2