Lightweight
3 Rounds
Yancy Medeiros won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohn Makdessi: Pressure fightervsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: John Makdessi wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Yancy Medeiros wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- John Makdessi has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yancy Medeiros has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
John Makdessi
Red Corner
VS
Yancy Medeiros
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MakdessiMetricYancy Medeiros
5.52
Strikes / min
4.36
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
68%
Strike defense
47%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.33
86%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.37Δ 2.68 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MakdessiYancy Medeiros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Makdessi(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.7-38.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
John Makdessi
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20
Yancy Medeiros
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14