Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Moraga won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 10, 2017·Auckland, New Zealand, New Zealand
Model Prediction: John Moraga wins(69.9%)
Actual result: John Moraga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Moraga has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashkan Mokhtarian (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Moraga
Red Corner
VS
Ashkan Mokhtarian
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17W
vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Ashkan Mokhtarian
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricAshkan Mokhtarian
2.57
Strikes / min
1.95
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
56%
Strike defense
43%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.54
44%
Takedown defense
33%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap-1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MoragaAshkan Mokhtarian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Ashkan Mokhtarian(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.1-3.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.248.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Ashkan Mokhtarian
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2