Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Moraga won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 15, 2014·Duluth, Georgia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dustin Ortiz wins(51.9%)
Actual result: John Moraga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
John Moraga
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Ortiz
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17W
vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Dustin Ortiz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricDustin Ortiz
2.57
Strikes / min
2.94
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
3.01
44%
Takedown defense
52%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MoragaDustin Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.4-3.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Dustin Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14