Flyweight
3 Rounds
John Moraga won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 7, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: John Moraga wins(50.2%)
Actual result: John Moraga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Bibulatov has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Moraga
Red Corner
VS
Magomed Bibulatov
Blue Corner
+425
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Magomed Bibulatov
oldest →latest
W
vs Jenel Lausa · Apr 17L
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricMagomed Bibulatov
2.57
Strikes / min
3.60
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
1.83
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
2.85
44%
Takedown defense
75%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap+1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MoragaMagomed Bibulatov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Magomed Bibulatov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Magomed Bibulatov
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3