Flyweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Pettis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 15, 2017·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sergio Pettis wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Sergio Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Pettis has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
John Moraga
Red Corner
VS
Sergio Pettis
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
42
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17W
vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Sergio Pettis
oldest →latest
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricSergio Pettis
2.57
Strikes / min
3.88
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.85
44%
Takedown defense
67%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John MoragaSergio Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Sergio Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.226.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-76.076.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Sergio Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14