Middleweight
3 Rounds
Khamzat Chimaev won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 15, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Khamzat Chimaev wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Khamzat Chimaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Khamzat Chimaev threatens submissions; John Phillips has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Khamzat Chimaev has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Phillips (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
John Phillips
Red Corner
VS
Khamzat Chimaev
Blue Corner
+271
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-375
(79%)
40
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Phillips
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Charles Byrd · Mar 18L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Nov 18L
vs Jack Marshman · Mar 19W
KOvs Alen Amedovski · Sep 19L
vs Junyong Park · Oct 20Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John PhillipsMetricKhamzat Chimaev
1.72
Strikes / min
4.01
4.03
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
49%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
5.32
7%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.31Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
John PhillipsKhamzat Chimaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Phillips(6 fights)Khamzat Chimaev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-33.733.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
John Phillips
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Khamzat Chimaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9