Lightweight
3 Rounds
Johnny Case won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 18, 2015·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Johnny Case wins(64.3%)
Actual result: Johnny Case wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johnny Case has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Johnny Case
Red Corner
VS
Frankie Perez
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johnny CaseL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Kazuki Tokudome · Sep 14W
vs Francisco Trevino · Jun 15W
vs Yan Cabral · Nov 15L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Mar 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jun 17Frankie PerezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sam Stout · Aug 15L
vs Marc Diakiese · Dec 16L
vs Chris Wade · Jul 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johnny CaseMetricFrankie Perez
3.95
Strikes / min
1.64
2.66
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
61%
Strike defense
54%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
1.75
72%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johnny CaseFrankie Perez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johnny Case(6 fights)Frankie Perez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Johnny Case
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Frankie Perez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4