Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Johnny Walker won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2019·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJohnny Walker: Well-roundedvsJustin Ledet: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Johnny Walker wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Johnny Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Ledet enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Justin Ledet has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Johnny Walker has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Johnny Walker
Red Corner
VS
Justin Ledet
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'4"
208.28 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johnny Walker
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Paul Craig · Jan 23W
vs Anthony Smith · May 23L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25Justin LedetL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mark Godbeer · Nov 16W
vs Zu Anyanwu · Sep 17L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Jul 18L
vs Aleksa Camur · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johnny WalkerMetricJustin Ledet
3.90
Strikes / min
3.35
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.82
46%
Strike defense
49%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.23
57%
Takedown defense
42%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johnny WalkerJustin Ledet
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johnny Walker(10 fights)Justin Ledet(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.15.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-118.0118.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-3.53.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Johnny Walker
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights14
Justin Ledet
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7