Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Johnny Walker won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, September 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohnny Walker: Well-roundedvsRyan Spann: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Johnny Walker wins(64.4%)
Actual result: Johnny Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ryan Spann has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Johnny Walker
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Spann
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'5"
208.28 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johnny Walker
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Paul Craig · Jan 23W
vs Anthony Smith · May 23L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25Ryan Spann
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johnny WalkerMetricRyan Spann
3.90
Strikes / min
3.11
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
46%
Strike defense
43%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
1.21
57%
Takedown defense
59%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johnny WalkerRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johnny Walker(10 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.442.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Johnny Walker
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights14
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15