Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kelvin Gastelum won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsKelvin Gastelum: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Johny Hendricks wins(59.8%)
Actual result: Kelvin Gastelum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Johny Hendricks
Red Corner
VS
Kelvin Gastelum
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
42
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Feb 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricKelvin Gastelum
3.49
Strikes / min
3.65
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
53%
Strike defense
57%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
1.04
63%
Takedown defense
60%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johny HendricksKelvin Gastelum
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.7-27.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24