Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Kampmann has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17 Martin Kampmann
oldest →L
vs Diego Sanchez · Mar 11W
SUBvs Thiago Alves · Mar 12W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 12L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricMartin Kampmann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Johny HendricksMartin Kampmann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Martin Kampmann(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +9.8|Blue -9.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +27.0|Blue -27.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Johny HendricksTargetMartin Kampmann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
