Welterweight
3 Rounds
Johny Hendricks won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2015·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsMatt Brown: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Matt Brown has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Johny Hendricks
Red Corner
VS
Matt Brown
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
42
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
175.26 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricMatt Brown
3.49
Strikes / min
3.76
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.92
53%
Strike defense
55%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
1.68
63%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johny HendricksMatt Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Matt Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.8-31.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25