Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsNeil Magny: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 28cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Johny Hendricks
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
42
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'3"
175.26 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Feb 16L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricNeil Magny
3.49
Strikes / min
3.40
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
53%
Strike defense
51%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
2.17
63%
Takedown defense
55%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johny HendricksNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.831.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37