Middleweight
3 Rounds
Paulo Costa won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2017·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsPaulo Costa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Paulo Costa wins(50.0%)
Actual result: Paulo Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Johny Hendricks
Red Corner
VS
Paulo Costa
Blue Corner
+305
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-365
(78%)
42
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'1"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny Hendricks
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Feb 16L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17Paulo Costa
oldest →latest
L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 21W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricPaulo Costa
3.49
Strikes / min
6.15
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
53%
Strike defense
49%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
0.30
63%
Takedown defense
77%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johny HendricksPaulo Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Paulo Costa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.1-18.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-22.022.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11