Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Robbie Lawler won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsRobbie Lawler: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Robbie Lawler wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robbie Lawler has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Johny Hendricks
Red Corner
VS
Robbie Lawler
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricRobbie Lawler
3.49
Strikes / min
3.85
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
53%
Strike defense
59%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
0.65
63%
Takedown defense
65%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johny HendricksRobbie Lawler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Robbie Lawler(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.1-37.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18