Welterweight
5 Rounds
Stephen Thompson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 6, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJohny Hendricks: WrestlervsStephen Thompson: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Johny Hendricks wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Stephen Thompson has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Johny Hendricks
Red Corner
VS
Stephen Thompson
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
42
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
175.26 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricStephen Thompson
3.49
Strikes / min
4.05
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
53%
Strike defense
54%
3.83
TDs / 15 min
0.23
63%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Johny HendricksStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.2-27.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+120.0-120.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21