Welterweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Fitch: WrestlervsDemian Maia: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jon Fitch wins(70.3%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jon Fitch
Red Corner
VS
Demian Maia
Blue Corner
-171
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+161
(38%)
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Fitch
oldest →latest
W
vs Ben Saunders · Mar 10W
vs Thiago Alves · Aug 10L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Dec 11W
vs Erick Silva · Oct 12Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon FitchMetricDemian Maia
2.61
Strikes / min
1.80
1.65
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
54%
Strike defense
63%
3.60
TDs / 15 min
2.49
56%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon FitchDemian Maia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Fitch(5 fights)Demian Maia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.55.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jon Fitch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26