Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jon Fitch won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJon Fitch: WrestlervsErick Silva: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Jon Fitch wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Jon Fitch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Jon Fitch
Red Corner
VS
Erick Silva
Blue Corner
+177
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-192
(66%)
48
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon FitchL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ben Saunders · Mar 10W
vs Thiago Alves · Aug 10L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Dec 11L
vs Demian Maia · Feb 13Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon FitchMetricErick Silva
2.61
Strikes / min
2.50
1.65
Strikes absorbed / min
4.18
54%
Strike defense
49%
3.60
TDs / 15 min
0.85
56%
Takedown defense
56%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 2.64 — meaningful gap-1.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon FitchErick Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Fitch(5 fights)Erick Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.90.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+161.0-161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Jon Fitch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Erick Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15