Welterweight
3 Rounds
Johny Hendricks won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Fitch: WrestlervsJohny Hendricks: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jon Fitch wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Jon Fitch has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Fitch
Red Corner
VS
Johny Hendricks
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
48
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Fitch
oldest →latest
W
vs Ben Saunders · Mar 10W
vs Thiago Alves · Aug 10W
vs Erick Silva · Oct 12L
vs Demian Maia · Feb 13Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon FitchMetricJohny Hendricks
2.61
Strikes / min
3.49
1.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.99
54%
Strike defense
53%
3.60
TDs / 15 min
3.83
56%
Takedown defense
63%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon FitchJohny Hendricks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Fitch(5 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-20.320.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+364.0-364.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jon Fitch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19