Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jon Fitch won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2010·Oakland, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Fitch: WrestlervsThiago Alves: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jon Fitch wins(75.1%)
Actual result: Jon Fitch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Fitch has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Fitch
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Alves
Blue Corner
+116
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-126
(56%)
48
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Fitch
oldest →latest
W
vs Ben Saunders · Mar 10L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Dec 11W
vs Erick Silva · Oct 12L
vs Demian Maia · Feb 13Thiago AlvesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18W
vs Max Griffin · Feb 19L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon FitchMetricThiago Alves
2.61
Strikes / min
3.73
1.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.42
54%
Strike defense
62%
3.60
TDs / 15 min
0.71
56%
Takedown defense
63%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon FitchThiago Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Fitch(5 fights)Thiago Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
Jon Fitch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Thiago Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15