Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jon Jones won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 2, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jon Jones has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Jones has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jon Jones has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-800
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+550
(15%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
213.36 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 18W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricAnthony Smith
4.38
Strikes / min
3.19
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
64%
Strike defense
44%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
0.44
95%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14Δ 3.99 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon JonesAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+119.9-119.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jon Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25