Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jon Jones won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Jones: Elusive strikervsCiryl Gane: Elusive striker
Two technical strikers — likely goes the distance with a close decision.
Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Ciryl Gane
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
213.36 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 18W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24Ciryl Gane
oldest →latest
L
vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 22W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricCiryl Gane
4.38
Strikes / min
5.29
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
64%
Strike defense
60%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
0.68
95%
Takedown defense
47%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14evenly matched on net striking+2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon JonesCiryl Gane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+125.3-125.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+938.0-938.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jon Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19
Ciryl Gane
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights13