Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jon Jones won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, April 21, 2012·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Jones: Elusive strikervsRashad Evans: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jon Jones has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jon Jones has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Rashad Evans
Blue Corner
-510
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+440
(19%)
38
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
213.36 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricRashad Evans
4.38
Strikes / min
2.14
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
64%
Strike defense
63%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
2.98
95%
Takedown defense
73%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon JonesRashad Evans
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Rashad Evans(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.1-39.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jon Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19
Rashad Evans
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12