Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jon Jones won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2024·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Jones: Elusive strikervsStipe Miocic: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Jones has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jon Jones has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Stipe Miocic
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+410
(20%)
38
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
213.36 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 18W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23Stipe Miocic
oldest →latest
W
vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 18L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricStipe Miocic
4.38
Strikes / min
4.67
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
64%
Strike defense
52%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
1.74
95%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon JonesStipe Miocic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+103.9-103.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-707.0707.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jon Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19
Stipe Miocic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19